What is SpaceX worth?

Spearhead's calibrated mark for SpaceX is $818B as of 2026-06-10, with an 80% conformal interval of $405B–$1.7T (illustrative/backtest).

How is SpaceX's valuation calculated?

The mark blends typed observations from publicly reported events on a disclosed recency half-life; the interval comes from split conformal prediction on walk-forward residuals, widened by staleness. Full methodology: https://pegasusthreesixty.com/methodology

◆ SPEARHEADCOMPANY PAGE2026-06-14

SpaceX

Name: SpaceX pre-IPO valuation mark (Spearhead)
License: https://pegasusthreesixty.com/methodology

Launch vehicles, Starlink satellite broadband, and crewed spaceflight. The most heavily traded name in private secondary markets; confidentially filed for an IPO in April 2026 with pricing pending as of this dataset's as-of date.

$818B[$405B – $1.7T]0.0%

80% BAND · AS OF 2026-06-10 · STALENESS 128D · CONFIDENCE 81% · 2 SOURCES · METHODOLOGY v0.2.0 →

00 / Mark history

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Company detail pages on Research show the headline mark and provenance only. Pro unlocks charts, mark events, and both interval bands. Illustrative / backtest — not investment advice.

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The headline mark and 80% band above are public. Full history, 95% bands, and mark events require Pro. Sign up · See plans. Illustrative / backtest — not investment advice.

01 / Provenance

Every input, with its citation

Marks are derived exclusively from the rows below. Excluded rows are shown for completeness and never enter the calculation.

Observed	Type	Implied valuation	Source	Quality	In mark	Cited
2026-02-02	Secondary print	$1T	CNBC	0.55	INPUT	VERIFIED
2025-12-13	Secondary print	$800B	Bloomberg	0.65	INPUT	VERIFIED
2025-07-15	Tender offer	$400B	CNBC	0.80	INPUT	VERIFIED
2024-12-11	Tender offer	$350B	CNBC	0.80	INPUT	VERIFIED
2024-06-27	Tender offer	$210B	Bloomberg	0.80	INPUT	VERIFIED
2023-12-06	Tender offer	$180B	Bloomberg	0.80	INPUT	VERIFIED
2023-06-30	Tender offer	$150B	Bloomberg	0.80	INPUT	VERIFIED
2023-01-02	Funding round	$137B	CNBC	0.90	INPUT	VERIFIED

This page is a backtest replay of publicly reported events. Indicative valuations, not transactable prices. Underlying assets are illiquid; inputs are limited to publicly reported events with source attribution. Pegasus Three Sixty and SpearHead are an information-only valuation product, do not hold client balances, and do not provide investment recommendations. Reported valuations inherit the share-count basis of the cited articles; bases differ between outlets and are recorded in event notes.